SPC Jan 19, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Jan 19, 2022 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0631 PM CST Tue Jan 18 2022

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms will linger this evening across the southwestern
US.

...Southwestern US...

Progressive short-wave trough is advancing east near the AZ/NM
border this evening. Large-scale forcing for ascent has contributed
to mid-level moistening and scattered showers across southeastern AZ
into southwestern NM. A few of these showers have deepened enough to
produce a few flashes of lightning. 00z sounding from TUS exhibited
a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE with modestly steep mid-level lapse rates
which is likely aiding this activity. Will maintain low thunder
probabilities across this region, especially for this evening.

..Darrow.. 01/19/2022

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