SPC Feb 19, 2020 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC Feb 19, 2020 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Outlook Image
Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NORTHERN LA
TO NORTHWEST GA...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong storms remain possible this evening across parts of the
Deep South.

...01z Update...

An elongated band of frontal convection, oriented mostly north of
the wind shift, extends from east TX-northern LA-central
MS/AL-northern GA. A pocket of modest instability is concentrated
over southern MS/AL where surface temperatures warmed into the
lower-mid 70s. Even so, very little deep convection is currently
noted across the warm sector as any boundary-layer convergence of
significance is noted along the sagging frontal zone. This activity
should gradually shift south through the evening with convection
struggling to attain severe intensity. Will maintain very low severe
probabilities for the most robust convection that can root near the
surface along the wind shift.

..Darrow.. 02/19/2020

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