Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130543
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 67A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

…LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…35.5N 18.5W
ABOUT 565 MI…910 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 200 MI…320 KM NNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH…57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 18.5 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Sunday.
On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of
Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of
the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of
Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the
post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km). Madeira Island recently reported a wind gust of
39 mph (63 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130237
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 67
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…LESLIE DASHING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…34.7N 20.7W
ABOUT 690 MI…1125 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM NW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH…57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 20.7 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast
motion toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island overnight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and move
inland over portions of Portugal and Spain late Saturday and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula Saturday night, and
the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late Saturday through early Sunday. Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco on Saturday, continuing into Sunday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 130232
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…NO MORE NADINE, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…16.0N 39.5W
ABOUT 1010 MI…1625 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Nadine were located near
latitude 16.0 North, longitude 39.5 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml

$$
Forecaster Blake

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 122336
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 66A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
800 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…LESLIE PASSING BETWEEN THE AZORES AND MADEIRA ISLAND…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…34.4N 22.4W
ABOUT 795 MI…1280 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 320 MI…515 KM WNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…972 MB…28.70 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 22.4 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Saturday,
followed by a slower east-northeastward motion Saturday night and
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island tonight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Saturday and
Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula, and the post-
tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly
to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.70 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and tropical-storm-force winds
to portions of western Spain late Saturday and Saturday night.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts of 1 to
3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100
mm) across Portugal and portions of Spain through Sunday night.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 122035
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 66
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…HURRICANE LESLIE RACING ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC…
…EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WIND AND RAIN IMPACTS TO PORTIONS
OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…33.9N 24.1W
ABOUT 895 MI…1445 KM SSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 405 MI…650 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 24.1 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeastward is expected to continue through
Saturday, followed by a slower east-northeastward motion Saturday
night and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will
pass north of Madeira Island tonight and early Saturday, approach
the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Saturday
and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula, and the post-
tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and tropical-storm-force winds
to portions of western Spain late Saturday and Saturday night.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts of 1 to
3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100
mm) across Portugal and portions of Spain through Sunday night.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 122032
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…WEAKENING NADINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.4N 37.7W
ABOUT 890 MI…1435 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 37.7 West. Nadine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A motion
toward the west at a similar forward speed is expected tonight
through dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is forecast, and Nadine is expected to weaken
to a remnant low by Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 121749
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 65A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…HURRICANE LESLIE RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC…
…LIKELY TO BRING RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…33.3N 26.1W
ABOUT 330 MI…530 KM S OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 515 MI…830 KM W OF THE MADEIRA ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 33 MPH…54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 26.1 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeastward is expected to continue through
Saturday morning, followed by a slower eastward motion late Saturday
through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will
pass north of Madeira Island on Saturday, and approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday night, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or so, but
Leslie is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical
cyclone by Saturday night. Additional weakening is forecast on
Sunday, with Leslie expected to dissipate by Monday after it moves
inland.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will likely bring strong winds to portions of
Portugal and Spain Saturday night and Sunday. Please see products
from your local meteorological service for more information on this
hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) across southern and central
portions of Portugal and Spain through Sunday.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 121442
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…NADINE WEAKENING OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…16.0N 36.2W
ABOUT 790 MI…1270 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 36.2 West. Nadine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A west-
northwestward to westward motion with an increase in forward speed
is expected through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple
of days, and Nadine is expected to dissipate by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 121435
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 65
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…HURRICANE LESLIE CONTINUES RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC…
…COULD BRING RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…33.0N 28.0W
ABOUT 350 MI…565 KM S OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 32 MPH…52 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 28.0 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h). A fast
east-northeastward motion is expected to continue through Saturday
morning, followed by a slower eastward motion late Saturday through
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island on Saturday, and approach the southwestern
portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Sunday, and move inland over
portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or so, but
Leslie is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical
cyclone by Saturday night or early Sunday. Additional weakening is
forecast on Sunday, with Leslie expected to dissipate by Monday
after it moves inland.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will likely bring strong winds to portions of
Portugal and Spain on Sunday. Please see products from your local
meteorological service for more information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) across southern and central
portions of Portugal and Spain through Sunday.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 121139
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 64A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
800 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…LESLIE RACING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…32.3N 29.8W
ABOUT 425 MI…685 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 735 MI…1180 KM W OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…90 MPH…150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 29 MPH…46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…969 MB…28.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 29.8 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h). A continued east-
northeastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
through Friday. Leslie is then forecast to slow down and turn toward
the east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track,
Leslie will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Leslie
could transition into a post-tropical low by Sunday or Sunday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 4 inches across Madeira Island through Sunday. This could
lead to flash flooding and mudslides in mountainous terrain.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 120855
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 64
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…LESLIE MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…31.9N 31.0W
ABOUT 480 MI…770 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 480 MI…770 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…90 MPH…150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 28 MPH…44 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…969 MB…28.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 31.0 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h). A continued
east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the
east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie
will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Leslie
could transition into a post-tropical low by Sunday or Sunday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 4 inches across Madeira Island through Sunday. This could
lead to flash flooding and mudslides in mountainous terrain.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT34 KNHC 120847
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Michael Advisory Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
500 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

…MICHAEL BECOMES A STORM-FORCE POST-TROPICAL LOW AS IT MOVES
AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES…
…ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AND WATCHES DISCONTINUED…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…38.0N 73.1W
ABOUT 185 MI…300 KM ENE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
ABOUT 275 MI…445 KM SW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 29 MPH…46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…983 MB…29.03 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal tropical cyclone warnings and watches are discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Michael was located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 73.1 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near
29 mph (46 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with an
increase in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the
forecast track, the center of Michael will move away from the
United States today and move rapidly across the open Atlantic Ocean
tonight through Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased near 65 mph (100 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected today and
tonight as the post-tropical cyclone moves across the Atlantic.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km)
from the center. NOAA buoy 44014 recently reported sustained winds
of 58 mph (94 km/h) and a wind gust of 72 mph (115 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: Storm surge flooding along the North Carolina coast,
including the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, should diminish today.

WIND: Gale winds may continue for a few more hours over portions of
southeastern Virginia, the southern Chesapeake Bay, and the Delmarva
Peninsula.

RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain from
New Jersey to Long Island to Cape Cod, and 3 to 5 inches over
Nantucket and Martha’s Vineyard through this afternoon. This
rainfall could lead to flash flooding. Elsewhere, flooding and
flash flooding may continue where Michael produced heavy rain very
recently in the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic states.

Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the coastal
northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.
Additional information on the remaining impacts over the United
States can be found in products issued by local National Weather
Service forecast offices.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 120846
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
500 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…NADINE UNRAVELING…EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WEEKEND…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…15.2N 35.5W
ABOUT 740 MI…1190 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the partially exposed center of Tropical
Storm Nadine was located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 35.5
West. Nadine is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13
km/h). A west-northwestward to westward motion with an increase in
forward speed is expected through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nadine is
expected to dissipate by Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT34 KNHC 120548
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 22A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

…MICHAEL STRENGTHENING WHILE TRANSITIONING TO A POST-TROPICAL
STORM…
…DAMAGING WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING STILL
OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THE SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…37.3N 75.1W
ABOUT 65 MI…105 KM ENE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH…41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB…29.09 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina to Duck North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cape Lookout North Carolina to Duck North Carolina
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Michael was
located near latitude 37.3 North, longitude 75.1 West. Michael is
moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h). An east-
northeastward motion with a significant increase in forward speed is
expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the
center of Michael will move away from the coast of the United
States during the next few hours and then begin to race
east-northeastward across the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

Surface observations indicate that maximum sustained winds have
increased near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Michael is
expected to continue to strengthen while becoming a post-tropical
low during the next few hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km),
primarily over water to the southeast of the center. The National
Ocean Service station on the York River recently reported sustained
winds of 62 mph (99 km/h) and a wind gust of 83 mph (133 km/h) at an
elevation of 48 ft (15 m), while the Norfolk Naval Air Station
reported sustained winds of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a wind gust of
75 mph (120 km/h). Also, a Weatherflow station on the Chesapeake
Light Tower recently reported sustained winds of 81 mph (130 km/h)
and a wind gust of 96 mph (154 km/h) at an elevation of 135 ft
(41 m).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
occurs at the time of high tide…

Sound side of the North Carolina Outer Banks from Ocracoke Inlet
to Duck…2-4 ft

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of
extreme eastern North Carolina, including the Outer Banks.

Gale- to storm-force winds are occurring over portions of
southeastern Virginia, extreme northeastern North Carolina, and the
Delmarva Peninsula, and these conditions will continue for the next
several hours.

RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches across southeast Virginia, southeast Maryland,
Delaware, and southern New Jersey. Isolated maximum totals of 7
inches are possible. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening
flash floods.

Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the coastal
northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 120546
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 63A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…LESLIE MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…31.4N 32.4W
ABOUT 550 MI…885 KM SW OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 895 MI…1440 KM W OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…90 MPH…150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 26 MPH…43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…969 MB…28.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 32.4 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h). A continued
east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the
east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie
will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours,
and Leslie could transition into a post-tropical low by Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce storm total accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across Madeira Island through Sunday. This could
lead to flash flooding and landslides over mountainous terrain.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven