Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 132035
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie Advisory Number 70
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 PM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

…LONG-LIVED LESLIE PREPARING TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST
OF PORTUGAL AS A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY…
…THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…40.5N 9.5W
ABOUT 85 MI…135 KM SSW OF PORTO PORTUGAL
ABOUT 125 MI…200 KM N OF LISBON PORTUGAL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…984 MB…29.06 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie
was located near latitude 40.5 North, longitude 9.5 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 35 mph (56
km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24
hours with a decrease in forward speed. On this track, the center of
Leslie will be near the west-central coast of Portugal in a few
hours, and move inland over portions of central and northern
Portugal tonight, and across northwestern and northern Spain Sunday
morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the
Iberian peninsula, and the cyclone is forecast to dissipate by
Sunday afternoon or evening.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center. Lisbon, Portugal recently reported a wind gust to
40 mph (65 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force
to portions of Portugal tonight, and gale-force winds to portions of
western amd northern Spain later tonight through early Sunday.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches
(125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend,
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Leslie.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

October 13, 2018 | k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 131432
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 69
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

…DEFIANT LESLIE STILL A HURRICANE…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…38.0N 12.6W
ABOUT 195 MI…315 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 33 MPH…54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…979 MB…28.91 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 12.6 West. Leslie is
moving toward the northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a decrease
in forward speed. On this track, the center of Leslie will be near
the southwestern portion of the Iberian peninsula later today, and
move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone during the next several hours. Weakening is
forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian peninsula, and
then dissipate by Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force
to portions of Portugal later today or tonight, and gale-force winds
to portions of western Spain later today through early Sunday.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches
(125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend,
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

| k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 131138
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 68A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
800 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

…LESLIE HEADING FOR THE IBERIAN PENINSULA IN A HURRY…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…37.3N 14.5W
ABOUT 310 MI…500 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 38 MPH…61 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB…28.94 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Portugal has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Madeira Island.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 37.3 North, longitude 14.5 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h). A motion toward
the east-northeast with a gradual decrease in forward speed is
expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of
Leslie will approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian
Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain
tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula later today or
early Sunday, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate
by Sunday night or Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force
to portions of Portugal later today or tonight, and gale-force winds
to portions of western Spain later today through early Sunday.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches
(125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend,
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila

| k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130837
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 68
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

…LESLIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…36.2N 16.7W
ABOUT 580 MI…935 KM E OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 680 MI…1090 KM E OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 38 MPH…61 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB…28.94 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 16.7 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h). A motion toward
the east-northeast with a gradual decrease in forward speed is
expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of
Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island this morning, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland
over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a
hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone later today or tonight.
Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian
Peninsula tonight, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to
dissipate by Sunday night or Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today or tonight, and gale-force winds to
portions of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please
see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts
up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this
weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

| k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130543
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 67A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018

…LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…35.5N 18.5W
ABOUT 565 MI…910 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 200 MI…320 KM NNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH…57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 18.5 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Sunday.
On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of
Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of
the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of
Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the
post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km). Madeira Island recently reported a wind gust of
39 mph (63 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

| k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130237
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 67
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…LESLIE DASHING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…34.7N 20.7W
ABOUT 690 MI…1125 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM NW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH…57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 20.7 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast
motion toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island overnight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and move
inland over portions of Portugal and Spain late Saturday and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula Saturday night, and
the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late Saturday through early Sunday. Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco on Saturday, continuing into Sunday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

| k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 130232
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…NO MORE NADINE, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY…

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…16.0N 39.5W
ABOUT 1010 MI…1625 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Nadine were located near
latitude 16.0 North, longitude 39.5 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml

$$
Forecaster Blake

| k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 122336
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 66A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
800 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…LESLIE PASSING BETWEEN THE AZORES AND MADEIRA ISLAND…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…34.4N 22.4W
ABOUT 795 MI…1280 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 320 MI…515 KM WNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…972 MB…28.70 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 22.4 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Saturday,
followed by a slower east-northeastward motion Saturday night and
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island tonight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Saturday and
Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula, and the post-
tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly
to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.70 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and tropical-storm-force winds
to portions of western Spain late Saturday and Saturday night.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts of 1 to
3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100
mm) across Portugal and portions of Spain through Sunday night.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg

October 12, 2018 | k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 122035
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 66
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…HURRICANE LESLIE RACING ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC…
…EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WIND AND RAIN IMPACTS TO PORTIONS
OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…33.9N 24.1W
ABOUT 895 MI…1445 KM SSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 405 MI…650 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island

Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 24.1 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeastward is expected to continue through
Saturday, followed by a slower east-northeastward motion Saturday
night and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will
pass north of Madeira Island tonight and early Saturday, approach
the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Saturday
and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula, and the post-
tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.

Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and tropical-storm-force winds
to portions of western Spain late Saturday and Saturday night.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.

RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts of 1 to
3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100
mm) across Portugal and portions of Spain through Sunday night.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.

SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown

| k9oh

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 122032
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018

…WEAKENING NADINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY…

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.4N 37.7W
ABOUT 890 MI…1435 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 37.7 West. Nadine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A motion
toward the west at a similar forward speed is expected tonight
through dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is forecast, and Nadine is expected to weaken
to a remnant low by Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

| k9oh