Flash Flood Warning

Flash Flood Warning

This is an automatic message WGUS52 KGSP 111458
FFWGSP
SCC021-112000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0073.181011T1458Z-181011T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1058 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for…
Cherokee County in Upstate South Carolina…

* Until 400 PM EDT.

* At 1055 AM EDT, Doppler radar was showing heavy tropical showers
moving into and/or developing atop Cherokee County. Rainfall
across the county has ranged from 2 to 2.5 inches since yesterday,
and localized additional rainfall may be around 2 inches. Flooding
of streams and low-spots is likely to develop, especially along
and northwest of I-85, and across greater Gaffney.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include…
Gaffney, Blacksburg, Cowpens National Battlefield, Cherokee Falls,
Draytonville, Thicketty and Kings Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Do not attempt to cross
water-covered roadways, bridges, or low-level crossings. Only a few
inches of rapidly flowing water can carry away your vehicle. It is
not worth the risk. Please TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN.

&&

LAT…LON 3493 8174 3493 8176 3503 8179 3504 8181
3506 8181 3518 8187 3516 8137 3514 8140
3505 8141 3505 8147 3503 8149 3501 8148
3500 8149 3491 8168 3491 8171

$$

CSH

Flash Flood Warning

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT34 KNHC 111448
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Michael Advisory Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
1100 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

…MICHAEL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND
GUSTS OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…34.7N 80.8W
ABOUT 35 MI…60 KM SSE OF CHARLOTTE NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 23 MPH…37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…990 MB…29.23 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning south of the Savannah River has been
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina to Duck North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Savannah River to Duck North Carolina
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Michael was
located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 80.8 West. Michael is
moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue with an increase in forward speed through
tonight. A turn toward the east-northeast at an even faster forward
speed are expected on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track,
the center of Michael will continue to move across central and
eastern North Carolina today, move across southeastern Virginia
this evening, and move into the western Atlantic Ocean tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today, with the strongest
winds primarily spreading northward along the coast of the
Carolinas. Michael is forecast to intensify as it becomes a post-
tropical low over the Atlantic late tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km),
mainly to the south and east of the center. A wind gust of 54 mph
(87 km/h) was recently reported at Folly Island, South Carolina.
Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, recently reported a wind gust of 47
mph (76 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
is 990 mb (29.23 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
occurs at the time of high tide…

Sound side of the North Carolina Outer Banks from Ocracoke Inlet
to Duck…2-4 ft

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of
central and eastern South Carolina and will spread northward over
central and eastern North Carolina this afternoon and evening.

Gale- to storm-force winds are expected over portions of
southeastern Virginia, extreme northeastern North Carolina, and the
Delmarva Peninsula late tonight and Friday morning when Michael
becomes post-tropical off the Mid-Atlantic coast.

RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 4 to 7 inches from northern South Carolina, west-central to
northwestern North Carolina, and into south-central to southeast
Virginia, including the southern Delmarva Peninsula. Isolated
maximum ttals of 9 inches are possible in North Carolina and
Virginia. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening flash
floods.

Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches expected across the Central
Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.

TORNADOES: Tornadoes are possible through this evening across
central and eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Flash Flood Warning

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 111445
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018

…NADINE WEAKENING IN A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…14.1N 34.0W
ABOUT 645 MI…1035 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…60 MPH…95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 34.0 West. Nadine is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest with a similar forward speed is expected later
today, followed by a turn toward the west by the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Gradual
weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Nadine is
forecast to degenerate into a trough of low pressure over the
weekend.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

Flash Flood Warning

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 111443
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 61
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018

…LESLIE ACCELERATING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…29.1N 38.3W
ABOUT 895 MI…1440 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…978 MB…28.88 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 29.1 North, longitude 38.3 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this
general motion with some increase in forward speed could begin by
late Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48
hours, but weakening is expected over the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles
(390 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

Flash Flood Warning

Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory

This is an automatic message WTNT34 KNHC 111154
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 19A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

…CENTER OF MICHAEL MOVING OVER SOUTH CAROLINA…
…TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…34.1N 81.8W
ABOUT 40 MI…65 KM WNW OF COLUMBIA SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 21 MPH…33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…986 MB…29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina to Duck North Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Altamaha Sound Georgia to Duck North Carolina
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline.

Interests elsewhere across the southeastern United States should
monitor the progress of Michael.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Michael was
located near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 81.8 West. Michael is
moving toward the northeast near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue with an increase in forward speed through
tonight. A turn toward the east-northeast and an even faster
forward speed are expected on Friday. On the forecast track, the
center of Michael will continue to move across central South
Carolina this morning, then move across portions of central and
eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia this afternoon and
this evening, and move into the Atlantic Ocean by late tonight or
early Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected today, with the strongest
winds primarily spreading northward along the coast of the
Carolinas. Michael is forecast to intensify as it becomes a post-
tropical low over the Atlantic late tonight or early Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
mainly over water to the southeast of the center. A coastal marine
observing site at Folly Island, South Carolina recently reported a
sustained wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) with a gust to 54 mph (87 km/h).
A wind gust to 49 mph (80 km/h) was recently observed in Charleston,
South Carolina.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
occurs at the time of high tide…

Sound side of the North Carolina Outer Banks from Ocracoke Inlet
to Duck…2-4 ft

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of
eastern and southeastern Georgia and South Carolina. These
conditions will spread northward across central and eastern portions
of North Carolina today.

Gale- to storm-force winds are expected over portions of
southeastern Virginia, extreme northeastern North Carolina, and the
Delmarva Peninsula as Michael becomes post-tropical off the
Mid-Atlantic coast late tonight or early Friday.

RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 7 inches from eastern Georgia to the southern Mid-Atlantic
states and 1 to 3 inches over the northern Mid-Atlantic states and
coastal southern New England. Isolated maximum amounts of 9 inches
are possible in North Carolina and Virginia. This rainfall could
lead to life-threatening flash floods.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible today over portions of
eastern South Carolina, eastern and central North Carolina, and
southeast Virginia.

SURF: Swells generated by Michael will affect the coasts of the
eastern, northern, and western Gulf of Mexico through this morning.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown