by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 120253
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
1100 PM AST Thu Oct 11 2018
…NADINE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…14.9N 35.5W
ABOUT 740 MI…1190 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1002 MB…29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 35.5 West. Nadine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A
west-northwestward to westward motion with an increase in forward
speed is expected on Friday and Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nadine is
expected to dissipate by Saturday night.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Berg
by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT34 KNHC 120252
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Michael Advisory Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
1100 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018
…MICHAEL ABOUT TO MOVE OFF THE VIRGINIA COAST AND BECOME POST
TROPICAL…
…DAMAGING WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING STILL
OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THE SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…37.1N 76.1W
ABOUT 15 MI…25 KM NNE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 25 MPH…41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…988 MB…29.18 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of Cape
Lookout North Carolina.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina to Duck North Carolina
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Cape Lookout North Carolina to Duck North Carolina
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Michael was
located near latitude 37.1 North, longitude 76.1 West. Michael is
moving toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h). An east-
northeastward motion with a significant increase in forward
speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast
track, the center of Michael will move off the coast of Virginia
within the next hour or two and then begin to race
east-northeastward across the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Michael is expected to become a post-tropical low overnight and
then intensity over the western Atlantic on Friday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445
km), primarily over water to the southeast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
occurs at the time of high tide…
Sound side of the North Carolina Outer Banks from Ocracoke Inlet
to Duck…2-4 ft
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of
extreme eastern North Carolina, including the Outer Banks.
Gale- to storm-force winds are expected over portions of
southeastern Virginia, extreme northeastern North Carolina, and the
Delmarva Peninsula overnight and Friday morning when Michael
becomes post-tropical off the Mid-Atlantic coast.
RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 3 to 5 inches across southeast Virginia, southeast Maryland,
Delaware, and southern New Jersey. Isolated maximum totals of 7
inches are possible. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening
flash floods.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the coastal
northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Berg
by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 120242
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 63
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Thu Oct 11 2018
…TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR MADEIRA ISLAND DUE TO LESLIE…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…30.9N 33.9W
ABOUT 630 MI…1010 KM SW OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 985 MI…1590 KM WSW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…90 MPH…150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 26 MPH…43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…969 MB…28.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Portugal has changed the Tropical Storm Watch to
a Tropical Storm Warning for Madeira Island.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 30.9 North, longitude 33.9 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h). A continued
east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the
east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie
will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the
next 72 hours, and Leslie could transition into a post-tropical low
by Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce storm total accumulations
of 3 to 6 inches across Madeira Island through Sunday. This could
lead to flash flooding and landslides over mountainous terrain.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Blake
by k9oh | Oct 11, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT34 KNHC 112349
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 21A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018
…MICHAEL LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS…
…DAMAGING WINDS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING STILL
OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA…
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…36.5N 77.8W
ABOUT 5 MI…10 KM NW OF ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 24 MPH…39 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…989 MB…29.20 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Ocracoke Inlet North Carolina to Duck North Carolina
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Murrells Inlet South Carolina to Duck North Carolina
* Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Michael was
located near latitude 36.5 North, longitude 77.8 West. Michael is
moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed through
tonight. A turn toward the east-northeast at an even faster forward
speed is expected on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track, the
center of Michael will cross into southeastern Virginia during the
next couple of hours and then move into the western Atlantic Ocean
overnight.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. Michael is forecast to intensify as it becomes a
post-tropical low over the Atlantic late tonight and Friday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km),
primarily over water to the southeast of the center. A sustained
wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) and a gust to 67 mph (108 km/h) was
recently reported at Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station in North
Carolina.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on recent surface
observations is 989 mb (29.20 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water has the
potential to reach the following heights above ground if peak surge
occurs at the time of high tide…
Sound side of the North Carolina Outer Banks from Ocracoke Inlet
to Duck…2-4 ft
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over portions of
northeastern South Carolina and central and eastern North Carolina.
Damaging tropical-storm-force wind gusts will spread from central
North Carolina and southern Virginia across northeastern North
Carolina and eastern Virginia during the next several hours.
Gale- to storm-force winds are expected over portions of
southeastern Virginia, extreme northeastern North Carolina, and the
Delmarva Peninsula late tonight and Friday morning when Michael
becomes post-tropical off the Mid-Atlantic coast.
RAINFALL: Michael is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 4 to 7 inches from north-central North Carolina, into south-
central to southeast Virginia, including the southern Delmarva
Peninsula. Isolated maximum totals of 9 inches are possible in North
Carolina and Virginia. This rainfall could lead to life-threatening
flash floods.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches expected across the coastal
northern Mid-Atlantic and southern New England.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible through this evening from
northeastern North Carolina across southeast Virginia into the
Delmarva Peninsula.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Berg
by k9oh | Oct 11, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 112348
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 62A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
800 PM AST Thu Oct 11 2018
…LESLIE MOVING QUICKLY EAST-NORTHEAST WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE
AZORES…
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…30.3N 35.3W
ABOUT 710 MI…1145 KM SW OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 1080 MI…1735 KM WSW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 22 MPH…35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 35.3 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 22 mph (35 km/h). A continued
east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the
east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie
will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible tonight and
early Friday, but steady weakening is forecast to begin by Friday
night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240
miles (390 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Madeira Island
beginning Saturday.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Blake
