by k9oh | Oct 13, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 131432
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 69
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018
…DEFIANT LESLIE STILL A HURRICANE…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…38.0N 12.6W
ABOUT 195 MI…315 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 33 MPH…54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…979 MB…28.91 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 12.6 West. Leslie is
moving toward the northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h), and this motion
is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a decrease
in forward speed. On this track, the center of Leslie will be near
the southwestern portion of the Iberian peninsula later today, and
move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone during the next several hours. Weakening is
forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian peninsula, and
then dissipate by Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force
to portions of Portugal later today or tonight, and gale-force winds
to portions of western Spain later today through early Sunday.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches
(125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend,
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Avila
by k9oh | Oct 13, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 131138
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 68A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
800 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018
…LESLIE HEADING FOR THE IBERIAN PENINSULA IN A HURRY…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…37.3N 14.5W
ABOUT 310 MI…500 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 38 MPH…61 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB…28.94 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Portugal has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for Madeira Island.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 37.3 North, longitude 14.5 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h). A motion toward
the east-northeast with a gradual decrease in forward speed is
expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of
Leslie will approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian
Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain
tonight and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula later today or
early Sunday, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate
by Sunday night or Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force
to portions of Portugal later today or tonight, and gale-force winds
to portions of western Spain later today through early Sunday.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches
(125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This
rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend,
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Avila
by k9oh | Oct 13, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130837
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 68
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018
…LESLIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST…0900 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…36.2N 16.7W
ABOUT 580 MI…935 KM E OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 680 MI…1090 KM E OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…75 MPH…120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 38 MPH…61 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…980 MB…28.94 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 16.7 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h). A motion toward
the east-northeast with a gradual decrease in forward speed is
expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of
Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island this morning, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland
over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a
hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone later today or tonight.
Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian
Peninsula tonight, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to
dissipate by Sunday night or Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.
Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today or tonight, and gale-force winds to
portions of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please
see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts
up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this
weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Beven
by k9oh | Oct 13, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130543
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 67A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018
…LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…35.5N 18.5W
ABOUT 565 MI…910 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 200 MI…320 KM NNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH…57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 18.5 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Sunday.
On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of
Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of
the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of
Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the
post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km). Madeira Island recently reported a wind gust of
39 mph (63 km/h).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
this morning.
Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late today, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Beven
by k9oh | Oct 13, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 130237
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 67
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…LESLIE DASHING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…34.7N 20.7W
ABOUT 690 MI…1125 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM NW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…80 MPH…130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH…57 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 20.7 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast
motion toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island overnight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and move
inland over portions of Portugal and Spain late Saturday and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula Saturday night, and
the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205
miles (335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
early Saturday.
Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and gale-force winds to portions
of western Spain late Saturday through early Sunday. Please see
products from your local meteorological service for more information
on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the
order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4
inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the
Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend
and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and
Morocco on Saturday, continuing into Sunday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Berg
by k9oh | Oct 13, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 130232
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Nadine Advisory Number 16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
1100 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…NO MORE NADINE, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…16.0N 39.5W
ABOUT 1010 MI…1625 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the remnants of Nadine were located near
latitude 16.0 North, longitude 39.5 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h).
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml
$$
Forecaster Blake
