by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 122336
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 66A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
800 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…LESLIE PASSING BETWEEN THE AZORES AND MADEIRA ISLAND…
…DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT
PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…34.4N 22.4W
ABOUT 795 MI…1280 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 320 MI…515 KM WNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…972 MB…28.70 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 22.4 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Saturday,
followed by a slower east-northeastward motion Saturday night and
Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island tonight and early Saturday, approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Saturday and
Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula, and the post-
tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly
to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 972 mb (28.70 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
early Saturday.
Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and tropical-storm-force winds
to portions of western Spain late Saturday and Saturday night.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts of 1 to
3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100
mm) across Portugal and portions of Spain through Sunday night.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Berg
by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 122035
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 66
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…HURRICANE LESLIE RACING ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC…
…EXPECTED TO BRING SIGNIFICANT WIND AND RAIN IMPACTS TO PORTIONS
OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…33.9N 24.1W
ABOUT 895 MI…1445 KM SSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL
ABOUT 405 MI…650 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 35 MPH…56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in
products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at
www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the
State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 33.9 North, longitude 24.1 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeastward is expected to continue through
Saturday, followed by a slower east-northeastward motion Saturday
night and Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will
pass north of Madeira Island tonight and early Saturday, approach
the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Saturday
and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force
post-tropical cyclone on Saturday. Weakening is forecast after
Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula, and the post-
tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.
Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to
portions of Portugal late Saturday, and tropical-storm-force winds
to portions of western Spain late Saturday and Saturday night.
Please see products from your local meteorological service for more
information on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts of 1 to
3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100
mm) across Portugal and portions of Spain through Sunday night.
This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brown
by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 122032
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
500 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…WEAKENING NADINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON SATURDAY…
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…16.4N 37.7W
ABOUT 890 MI…1435 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH…24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1003 MB…29.62 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 37.7 West. Nadine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h). A motion
toward the west at a similar forward speed is expected tonight
through dissipation.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional weakening is forecast, and Nadine is expected to weaken
to a remnant low by Saturday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brennan
by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 121749
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 65A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
200 PM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…HURRICANE LESLIE RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC…
…LIKELY TO BRING RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…33.3N 26.1W
ABOUT 330 MI…530 KM S OF THE AZORES
ABOUT 515 MI…830 KM W OF THE MADEIRA ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 33 MPH…54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located
near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 26.1 West. Leslie is moving
toward the east-northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h). A fast motion
toward the east-northeastward is expected to continue through
Saturday morning, followed by a slower eastward motion late Saturday
through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will
pass north of Madeira Island on Saturday, and approach the
southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Saturday night, and
move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula on Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or so, but
Leslie is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical
cyclone by Saturday night. Additional weakening is forecast on
Sunday, with Leslie expected to dissipate by Monday after it moves
inland.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.
Post-tropical Leslie will likely bring strong winds to portions of
Portugal and Spain Saturday night and Sunday. Please see products
from your local meteorological service for more information on this
hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) across southern and central
portions of Portugal and Spain through Sunday.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brown
by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT35 KNHC 121442
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152018
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…NADINE WEAKENING OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…16.0N 36.2W
ABOUT 790 MI…1270 KM W OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 36.2 West. Nadine is
moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A west-
northwestward to westward motion with an increase in forward speed
is expected through the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple
of days, and Nadine is expected to dissipate by Sunday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brown
by k9oh | Oct 12, 2018 | Weather and Emergency Alerts
This is an automatic message WTNT33 KNHC 121435
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 65
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018
1100 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018
…HURRICANE LESLIE CONTINUES RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC…
…COULD BRING RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE IBERIAN
PENINSULA SUNDAY…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…33.0N 28.0W
ABOUT 350 MI…565 KM S OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 32 MPH…52 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…971 MB…28.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Madeira Island
Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of
Leslie.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
———————-
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was
located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 28.0 West. Leslie is
moving toward the east-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h). A fast
east-northeastward motion is expected to continue through Saturday
morning, followed by a slower eastward motion late Saturday through
Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north
of Madeira Island on Saturday, and approach the southwestern
portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Sunday, and move inland over
portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or so, but
Leslie is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical
cyclone by Saturday night or early Sunday. Additional weakening is
forecast on Sunday, with Leslie expected to dissipate by Monday
after it moves inland.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km),
mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend
outward up to 230 miles (370 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island
beginning early Saturday.
Post-tropical Leslie will likely bring strong winds to portions of
Portugal and Spain on Sunday. Please see products from your local
meteorological service for more information on this hazard.
RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) across southern and central
portions of Portugal and Spain through Sunday.
SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of
the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday
and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco
over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brennan
